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Sector Profiles :: Green Energy (Alternative Energy)


In the wake of rising oil prices and increasing fuel consumption and demand, alternative energy is becoming increasingly more important, such as:

  • Biofuels, including Ethanol ( Wood, Waste, Alcohol, (also called Biomass))
  • Geothermal
  • Solar
  • Wind
  • Conventional Hydroelectric Power
  • Fuel Cells

Green Energy (alternative energy) sources, limit pollution and energy-related climate change. Climate change is becoming a important concern among citizens, but is slow to change their consumption habits, due to limited choices in the green energy (alternative energy) sector. The increased demand for alternative energy is somewhat correlated to the rising demand and pricing pressures in oil.

For example the hydrid or electric cars (also called Electric Vehicle or EV) that run on cleaner fuel is now large and prosperous, with $31.1 billion sales globally in 2005 at ex factory prices excluding electric toys. It is growing strongly and, by 2015, the EV market will have grown to 7.3 times its value in 2005. This will driive the demand for more green energy (alternative energy) sources.

The Kyoto Treatyis another factor for the rise in interest of green energy (alternative energy) sources. The European Union and 35 countries have agreed to cut emissions by 5.2 percent below 1990 levels, starting next year, through 2012 under the UN's Kyoto treaty on greenhouse gases. Even the U.S., which has refused to ratify the Kyoto treaty, said the human role in climate change is no longer debatable. The US is the largest emitter of greenhouse gases.

The jump in the biofuel sector have brought another problem. Corn, wheat, coconut and food related plants used to make biofuel has resulted in less food for human consumption, thus the huge increase in food prices. The increase in food prices has caused inflation in some countires and has even brought demontrations on the streets.

 

Risks: High

Speculation that demand for alternative energy will soar has made the industry's shares more expensive.

The Bloomberg World Energy-Alternate Sources Index, composed of 27 stocks, jumped 22 percent this year. Companies in the Bloomberg U.S. Energy-Alternative Index are even pricy. Based on forecast earnings, their shares are valued at an average of 60 times. Five of the 12 members of the index reported losses in 2006.

It looks like concerns about rising corn prices and reduced margins also affected the ethanol producers.

"Alternative energy is all the rage,'' said Stuart Schweitzer, New York-based global strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, which oversees about $1 trillion in assets. That does not mean that as an investor you'll be able to make money.''

Furthermore, some sectors, such as wind parks have been unprofitable, due to the average costs in terms of all wind parks continues to noticeably exceed that of natural gas power plants. This is in part due to the immaturity of renewable energy technologies compared with traditional energy sectors. "In the alternative energy industry, wind power generators have a lot of competition. Dozens of companies are touting new and innovative technology, but there is simply not enough demand to absorb the competition. Until the competition is weeded out, no big profits will be made."  

Investors interested in this sector have to be cautious, since most prices in stocks may be overpriced. However, the true costs to the environment and human health, including acid rain and air pollution, are not reflected in the market price of electricity, according to the associations. There are social benefits in investing in green energy.

 

 

 

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